Belief in the law of small numbers.
Reports that people have erroneous intuitions about the laws of chance. In particular, they regard a sample randomly drawn from a population as highly representative, I.e., simi...
Publications
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237 publications
What is an adequate sample size? Operationalising data saturation for theory-based interview studies
In interview studies, sample size is often justified by interviewing participants until reaching 'data saturation'. However, there is no agreed method of establishing this. We p...
A Genome-Wide Association Study of Type 2 Diabetes in Finns Detects Multiple Susceptibility Variants
Identifying the genetic variants that increase the risk of type 2 diabetes (T2D) in humans has been a formidable challenge. Adopting a genome-wide association strategy, we genot...
Use of blood pressure lowering drugs in the prevention of cardiovascular disease: meta-analysis of 147 randomised trials in the context of expectations from prospective epidemiological studies
With the exception of the extra protective effect of beta blockers given shortly after a myocardial infarction and the minor additional effect of calcium channel blockers in pre...
Safeguarding human health in the Anthropocene epoch: report of The Rockefeller Foundation–Lancet Commission on planetary health
Earth's natural systems represent a growing threat to human health. And yet, global health has mainly improved as these changes have gathered pace. What is the explanation? As a...
Safety and immunogenicity of the ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 vaccine against SARS-CoV-2: a preliminary report of a phase 1/2, single-blind, randomised controlled trial
The pandemic of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) might be curtailed by vaccination. We assessed the safety, reactogenicity, and immunogenicity of a v...
Matching People and Organizations: Selection and Socialization in Public Accounting Firms
Understanding and predicting behavior in organizations requires a consideration of person and situation factors, and how these factors interact. This paper develops and longitud...
Human Migration and the Marginal Man
Migrations, with all the incidental collision, conflicts, and fusions of peoples and of cultures which they occasion, have been accounted among the decisive forces in history. E...
Discrete-Time Methods for the Analysis of Event Histories
The history of an individual or group can always be characterized as a sequence of events. People finish school, enter the labor force, marry, give birth, get promoted, change e...
College sophomores in the laboratory: Influences of a narrow data base on social psychology's view of human nature.
For the 2 decades prior to 1960, published research in social psychology was based on a wide variety of subjects and research sites. Content analyses show that since then such r...
Refining the Global Spatial Limits of Dengue Virus Transmission by Evidence-Based Consensus
The map produced here provides a list of 128 countries for which there is good evidence of dengue occurrence, including 36 countries that have previously been classified as deng...
Going from evidence to recommendations
The GRADE system classifies recommendations made in guidelines as either strong or weak. This article explores the meaning of these descriptions and their implications for patie...