Abstract

Reports that people have erroneous intuitions about the laws of chance. In particular, they regard a sample randomly drawn from a population as highly representative, I.e., similar to the population in all essential characteristics. The prevalence of the belief and its unfortunate consequences for psychological research are illustrated by the responses of 84 professional psychologists to a questionnaire concerning research decisions. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2012 APA, all rights reserved) Language: en

Keywords

PsychologySocial psychologyLawPolitical science

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Publication Info

Year
1971
Type
article
Volume
76
Issue
2
Pages
105-110
Citations
3222
Access
Closed

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Amos Tversky, Daniel Kahneman (1971). Belief in the law of small numbers.. Psychological Bulletin , 76 (2) , 105-110. https://doi.org/10.1037/h0031322

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DOI
10.1037/h0031322