Abstract

On 5 February 2020, in Yokohama, Japan, a cruise ship hosting 3,711 people underwent a 2-week quarantine after a former passenger was found with COVID-19 post-disembarking. As at 20 February, 634 persons on board tested positive for the causative virus. We conducted statistical modelling to derive the delay-adjusted asymptomatic proportion of infections, along with the infections’ timeline. The estimated asymptomatic proportion was 17.9% (95% credible interval (CrI): 15.5–20.2%). Most infections occurred before the quarantine start.

Keywords

AsymptomaticQuarantineCoronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)CruiseSevere acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)Medicine2019-20 coronavirus outbreakCoronavirus InfectionsPandemicVirologyInternal medicineDiseaseInfectious disease (medical specialty)OutbreakPathologyEngineering

MeSH Terms

AdolescentAdultAge DistributionAgedAged80 and overAsymptomatic InfectionsBetacoronavirusCOVID-19ChildChildPreschoolCoronavirus InfectionsDisease OutbreaksFemaleHumansInfantInfantNewbornMaleMiddle AgedModelsStatisticalPneumoniaViralQuarantineSARS-CoV-2Sex DistributionShipsTravelYoung Adult

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Publication Info

Year
2020
Type
article
Volume
25
Issue
10
Citations
2513
Access
Closed

Citation Metrics

2513
OpenAlex
69
Influential
1700
CrossRef

Cite This

Kenji Mizumoto, Katsushi Kagaya, Alexander E. Zarebski et al. (2020). Estimating the asymptomatic proportion of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases on board the Diamond Princess cruise ship, Yokohama, Japan, 2020. Eurosurveillance , 25 (10) . https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.es.2020.25.10.2000180

Identifiers

DOI
10.2807/1560-7917.es.2020.25.10.2000180
PMID
32183930
PMCID
PMC7078829

Data Quality

Data completeness: 86%