Abstract

This paper proposes new tests for detecting the presence of a unit root in quite general time series models. Our approach is nonparametric with respect to nuisance parameters and thereby allows for a very wide class of weakly dependent and possibly heterogeneously distributed data. The tests accommodate models with a fitted drift and a time trend so that they may be used to discriminate between unit root nonstationarity and stationarity about a deterministic trend. The limiting distributions of the statistics are obtained under both the unit root null and a sequence of local alternatives. The latter noncentral distribution theory yields local asymptotic power functions for the tests and facilitates comparisons with alternative procedures due to Dickey & Fuller. Simulations are reported on the performance of the new tests in finite samples.

Keywords

Unit rootMathematicsSeries (stratigraphy)Nonparametric statisticsNuisance parameterStatisticsStatistical hypothesis testingNull hypothesisAsymptotic distributionLimitingUnit root testNull (SQL)Augmented Dickey–Fuller testEconometricsRegressionApplied mathematicsTime seriesCointegrationComputer scienceData mining

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Publication Info

Year
1988
Type
article
Volume
75
Issue
2
Pages
335-346
Citations
17460
Access
Closed

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Peter C.B. Phillips, Pierre Perrón (1988). Testing for a unit root in time series regression. Biometrika , 75 (2) , 335-346. https://doi.org/10.1093/biomet/75.2.335

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DOI
10.1093/biomet/75.2.335