Abstract
A synoptic forecast model of the oceanic mixed layer has been developed for operational use at the U.S. Navy's Fleet Numerical Oceanography Center (FNOC), Monterey, Calif. The potential success of this model depends critically on the quality of the Navy's operational environmental data base, which supplies the model with its initial and boundary conditions. In this paper we discuss the model and its applications and investigate the suitability of this data base for operational ocean forecasting through verification results from a 72 h forecast performed in real time for the entire Northern Hemisphere. The model does not exhibit skill in forecasting changes in sea surface temperature in the tropics. This may be due to an inadequate representation of the surface fluxes of heat, moisture, and momentum provided by the operational data base for this region. In extratropical regions, however, the model does show skill in predicting changes in sea surface temperature on the time scale considered.
Keywords
NavyEnvironmental scienceMeteorologyMixed layerClimatologyExtratropical cycloneNorthern HemisphereGeologyGeography
Affiliated Institutions
Related Publications
The Northern Hemisphere Sea-Level Pressure Data Set: Trends, Errors and Discontinuities
A detailed examination of the Northern Hemisphere monthly mean sea-level grid-point pressures shows a disappointingly large number of problems. The data set extends from 1899–19...
Assimilation for skin SST in the NASA GEOS atmospheric data assimilation system
The present article describes the sea surface temperature (SST) developments implemented in the Goddard Earth Observing System, Version 5 (GEOS) Atmospheric Data Assimilation Sy...
Changes to the 1995 NCEP Operational Medium-Range Forecast Model Analysis–Forecast System
Recent changes in the operational National Centers for Environmental Prediction (formerly the National Meteorological Center) global analysis–forecast system are described. The ...
The Use of TOVS Cloud-Cleared Radiances in the NCEP SSI Analysis System
With improved assimilation techniques, it is now possible to directly assimilate cloud-cleared radiances, rather than temperature and moisture retrievals, in objective analyses....
The ECMWF implementation of three‐dimensional variational assimilation (3D‐Var). III: Experimental results
Abstract In this third and final paper of a series, we assess the performance of the three‐dimensional variational data assimilation scheme, in the light of the results from the...
Publication Info
- Year
- 1981
- Type
- article
- Volume
- 62
- Issue
- 6
- Pages
- 770-770
- Citations
- 20
- Access
- Closed
External Links
Social Impact
Altmetric
PlumX Metrics
Social media, news, blog, policy document mentions
Citation Metrics
20
OpenAlex
0
Influential
10
CrossRef
Cite This
Rachel Clancy,
Paul J. Martin
(1981).
Synoptic Forecasting of the Oceanic Mixed Layer Using the Navy's Operational Environmental Data Base: Present Capabilities and Future Applications.
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
, 62
(6)
, 770-770.
https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0477(1981)062<0770:sfotom>2.0.co;2
Identifiers
- DOI
- 10.1175/1520-0477(1981)062<0770:sfotom>2.0.co;2