Abstract

A collection of I similar items generates point event histories; for example, machines experience failures or operators make mistakes. Suppose the intervals between events are modeled as iid exponential (λ i , or the counts as Poisson (λ i t i ,) for the ith item. Furthermore, so as to represent between-item variability, each individual rate parameter, λ i , is presumed drawn from a fixed (super) population with density g λ (·; θ), θ being a vector parameter: a parametric empirical Bayes (PEB) setup. For g λ, specified alternatively as log-Student t(n) or gamma, we exhibit the results of numerical procedures for estimating superpopulation parameters ll and for describing pooled estimates of the individual rates, λ i , obtained via Bayes's formula. Three data sets are analyzed, and convenient explicit approximate formulas are furnished for λ i estimates. In the Student-t case, the individual estimates are seen to have a robust quality.

Keywords

MathematicsBayes' theoremStatisticsEvent (particle physics)Parametric statisticsPoisson distributionPoint estimationPopulationEconometricsExponential familyApplied mathematicsBayesian probability

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Publication Info

Year
1987
Type
article
Volume
29
Issue
1
Pages
1-15
Citations
75
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Closed

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Donald P. Gaver, I. G. O’Muircheartaigh (1987). Robust Empirical Bayes Analyses of Event Rates. Technometrics , 29 (1) , 1-15. https://doi.org/10.1080/00401706.1987.10488178

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DOI
10.1080/00401706.1987.10488178