Progress and challenges in short- to medium-range coupled prediction

Abstract

The availability of GODAE Oceanview-type ocean forecast systems provides the opportunity to develop high-resolution, short- to medium-range coupled prediction systems. Several groups have undertaken the first experiments based on relatively unsophisticated approaches. Progress is being driven at the institutional level targeting a range of applications that represent their respective national interests with clear overlaps and opportunities for information exchange and collaboration. The applications include forecasting of the general circulation, hurricanes, extra-tropical storms, high-latitude weather and coastal air–sea interaction. In some cases, research has moved beyond case and sensitivity studies to controlled experiments to obtain statistically significant metrics and operational predictions.

Keywords

Affiliated Institutions

• Florida State University US
• Met Office GB
• The University of Melbourne AU
• NOAA Environmental Modeling Center
• Bureau of Meteorology AU
• European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts GB
• Environment and Climate Change Canada CA
• Collaboration for Australian Weather and Climate Research AU
• Mercator Ocean (France) FR

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