Abstract

The mean estimate of R<sub>0</sub> for the 2019-nCoV ranges from 2.24 to 3.58, and is significantly larger than 1. Our findings indicate the potential of 2019-nCoV to cause outbreaks.

Keywords

OutbreakBasic reproduction numberMainland ChinaCoronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)CoronavirusChinaDemographyEstimation2019-20 coronavirus outbreakStatisticsPneumoniaGeographyBiologyVeterinary medicineMedicineVirologyInfectious disease (medical specialty)MathematicsDiseaseInternal medicinePopulation

MeSH Terms

Basic Reproduction NumberBetacoronavirusCOVID-19ChinaCoronavirus InfectionsEpidemicsHumansMiddle East Respiratory Syndrome CoronavirusPandemicsPneumoniaViralSevere acute respiratory syndrome-related coronavirusSARS-CoV-2World Health Organization

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Publication Info

Year
2020
Type
article
Volume
92
Pages
214-217
Citations
1933
Access
Closed

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Cite This

Shi Zhao, Qianyin Lin, Jinjun Ran et al. (2020). Preliminary estimation of the basic reproduction number of novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) in China, from 2019 to 2020: A data-driven analysis in the early phase of the outbreak. International Journal of Infectious Diseases , 92 , 214-217. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijid.2020.01.050

Identifiers

DOI
10.1016/j.ijid.2020.01.050
PMID
32007643
PMCID
PMC7110798

Data Quality

Data completeness: 90%