Abstract

ABSTRACT This paper defines the news impact curve which measures how new information is incorporated into volatility estimates. Various new and existing ARCH models including a partially nonparametric one are compared and estimated with daily Japanese stock return data. New diagnostic tests are presented which emphasize the asymmetry of the volatility response to news. Our results suggest that the model by Glosten, Jagannathan, and Runkle is the best parametric model. The EGARCH also can capture most of the asymmetry; however, there is evidence that the variability of the conditional variance implied by the EGARCH is too high.

Keywords

EconometricsVolatility (finance)Nonparametric statisticsEconomicsStock (firearms)Realized varianceForward volatilityConditional varianceParametric statisticsStochastic volatilityImplied volatilityAutoregressive conditional heteroskedasticityStatisticsMathematicsEngineering

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Publication Info

Year
1993
Type
article
Volume
48
Issue
5
Pages
1749-1778
Citations
3647
Access
Closed

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Robert F. Engle, Victor Ng (1993). Measuring and Testing the Impact of News on Volatility. The Journal of Finance , 48 (5) , 1749-1778. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1993.tb05127.x

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DOI
10.1111/j.1540-6261.1993.tb05127.x