Factors associated with COVID-19-related death using OpenSAFELY

2020 Nature 6,498 citations

Abstract

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has rapidly affected mortality worldwide1. There is unprecedented urgency to understand who is most at risk of severe outcomes, and this requires new approaches for the timely analysis of large datasets. Working on behalf of NHS England, we created OpenSAFELY—a secure health analytics platform that covers 40% of all patients in England and holds patient data within the existing data centre of a major vendor of primary care electronic health records. Here we used OpenSAFELY to examine factors associated with COVID-19-related death. Primary care records of 17,278,392 adults were pseudonymously linked to 10,926 COVID-19-related deaths. COVID-19-related death was associated with: being male (hazard ratio (HR) 1.59 (95% confidence interval 1.53–1.65)); greater age and deprivation (both with a strong gradient); diabetes; severe asthma; and various other medical conditions. Compared with people of white ethnicity, Black and South Asian people were at higher risk, even after adjustment for other factors (HR 1.48 (1.29–1.69) and 1.45 (1.32–1.58), respectively). We have quantified a range of clinical factors associated with COVID-19-related death in one of the largest cohort studies on this topic so far. More patient records are rapidly being added to OpenSAFELY, we will update and extend our results regularly. OpenSAFELY, a new health analytics platform that includes data from over 17 million adult NHS patients in England, is used to examine factors associated with COVID-19-related death.

Keywords

Hazard ratioMedicineConfidence intervalPandemicCoronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)Medical recordDemographyProportional hazards modelDiseaseGerontologyInternal medicineInfectious disease (medical specialty)

MeSH Terms

AdolescentAdultAge DistributionAge FactorsAgedAged80 and overAgingAsian PeopleAsthmaBetacoronavirusBlack PeopleCOVID-19Cohort StudiesCoronavirus InfectionsDiabetes MellitusFemaleHumansHypertensionMaleMiddle AgedPandemicsPneumoniaViralProportional Hazards ModelsRisk AssessmentSARS-CoV-2Sex CharacteristicsSmokingState MedicineYoung Adult

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Publication Info

Year
2020
Type
article
Volume
584
Issue
7821
Pages
430-436
Citations
6498
Access
Closed

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6498
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223
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Cite This

Elizabeth Williamson, Alex J Walker, Krishnan Bhaskaran et al. (2020). Factors associated with COVID-19-related death using OpenSAFELY. Nature , 584 (7821) , 430-436. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-020-2521-4

Identifiers

DOI
10.1038/s41586-020-2521-4
PMID
32640463
PMCID
PMC7611074

Data Quality

Data completeness: 86%