Abstract

Abstract We estimate the effective reproduction number for 2019-nCoV based on the daily reported cases from China CDC. The results indicate that 2019-nCoV has a higher effective reproduction number than SARS with a comparable fatality rate. Article Summary Line This modeling study indicates that 2019-nCoV has a higher effective reproduction number than SARS with a comparable fatality rate.

Keywords

ReproductionSevere acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)2019-20 coronavirus outbreakCase fatality rateBasic reproduction numberChinaBiologyStatisticsMedicineMathematicsGeographyVirologyEcologyEnvironmental healthPopulationInternal medicine

Affiliated Institutions

Related Publications

Publication Info

Year
2020
Type
preprint
Citations
166
Access
Closed

External Links

Social Impact

Social media, news, blog, policy document mentions

Citation Metrics

166
OpenAlex

Cite This

Zhidong Cao, Qingpeng Zhang, Xin Lü et al. (2020). Estimating the effective reproduction number of the 2019-nCoV in China. bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory) . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.01.27.20018952

Identifiers

DOI
10.1101/2020.01.27.20018952