Efficient Neural Modeling of Wind Power Density for National-Scale Energy Planning: Toward Sustainable AI Applications in Industry 5.0

Abstract

This study presents an efficient and reproducible framework for estimating wind power density (WPD) across Mexico using a Dense Neural Network (DNN) trained exclusively on ERA5 and ERA5-Land reanalysis data. The model is designed as a computationally efficient surrogate that reproduces the statistical behavior of the ERA5 benchmark while enabling national-scale WPD mapping and short-term projections at minimal computational cost. Meteorological variables—including wind components at 10 m and 100 m, surface temperature, pressure, and terrain elevation—were harmonized on a 0.25° grid for the 1971–2024 period. A chronological dataset split (70-20-10%) was applied to realistically evaluate forecasting capability. The optimized DNN architecture (512-256-128 neurons) achieved high predictive performance (R2 ≈ 0.91, RMSE ≈ 6.2 W/m2) and accurately reproduced spatial patterns and seasonal variability, particularly in high-resource regions such as Oaxaca and Baja California. Compared with deeper neural architectures, the proposed model reduced training time by more than 60% and energy consumption by approximately 40%, supporting principles of sustainable computing and Industry 5.0. The resulting WPD fields, delivered in interoperable NetCDF formats, can be directly integrated into decision-support tools for wind-farm planning, smart-grid management, and long-term renewable-energy strategies in data-scarce environments.

Affiliated Institutions

• Universidad Autónoma de Zacatecas "Francisco García Salinas" MX

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