Abstract
Measles epidemiology offers a unique perspective on the construction of models to describe the dynamics of ecological systems. Simple models of measles transmission can generate deterministic chaos by various mechanisms. However, incorporating more biological realism into the model, in the form of age structure and realism in the seasonal forcing function, can suppress complex dynamics. Adding stochastic terms to the models restores complex dynamics, but raises new questions about demographic scale and population structure in these models.
Keywords
Statistical physicsDynamics (music)Perspective (graphical)MeaslesPopulationComplex dynamicsComputer scienceForcing (mathematics)Scale (ratio)Simple (philosophy)MathematicsBiologyPhysicsEpistemologyArtificial intelligenceSociologyVirologyDemography
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Publication Info
- Year
- 1993
- Type
- article
- Volume
- 251
- Issue
- 1330
- Pages
- 75-81
- Citations
- 243
- Access
- Closed
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Cite This
Benjamin M. Bolker,
Bryan T. Grenfell
(1993).
Chaos and biological complexity in measles dynamics.
Proceedings of the Royal Society B Biological Sciences
, 251
(1330)
, 75-81.
https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.1993.0011
Identifiers
- DOI
- 10.1098/rspb.1993.0011